CodeBlueBlog: The Matricide Math Of The British National Health Care Service

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The Matricide Math Of The British National Health Care Service

Look Back in Anger:

The Calculus of Socialism

“If only something—something would happen to you, and wake you out of your beauty sleep! If you could have a child, and it would die. Let it grow, let a recognisable human face emerge from that little mass of India rubber and wrinkles. Please—if only I could watch you face that. I wonder if you might even become a recognisable human being yourself. But I doubt it.”

John Osborne

Look Back in Anger

Following standards in place in the U.S. for 25 years, The National Health Care Service in Britain recently upgraded mammography technology, widened the age for screening mammography and began using two view technique, which has resulted -- as I reported yesterday -- in 11,000 cases of breast cancer diagnosed earlier, in 2004, than would have been found in years past without the upgrades.

The lethality of breast cancer is proportional to the "stage" at which the cancer is detected. Roughly, stage = size and spread, and BOTH of these parameters increase with time. Translation? The earlier you find the breast cancer, the earlier the stage of disease.

Here are the breast cancer survival rates by stage. Look carefully:

Stage	5-year Relative Survival Rate
0	100%
I	98%
IIA	88%
IIB	76%
IIIA	56%
IIIB	49%
IV	16%

If the National Health Care Service in Britain had spent the money to upgrade their screening program (instead of insisting that the U.S. system was "over the top") even 10 years ago, at least 110,000 women would have been discovered with breast cancer at a higher level in the above algorithm.

Breast cancer can DOUBLE in size in 140 days.

Do the math. It's Matricide.

Posted by Doctor CBB on March 01, 2005 at 03:51 PM | Permalink

Comments

I think also you have misinterpreted the data. That article says that there was a 14% increase in detection via mammography and most of that is put down to the 2 view as you outlined.

So there were ~1400 (not 11,000) new cases detected that wouldn't have been found under the old system, MOST of which were early stages.

Posted by: Richard | March 01, 2005 at 08:12 PM

Agreed.

The NHS wants so eagerly to promote the lives they are saving (in order to disguise the lives they havelost)that the 11,000 number appeared as the delta, but was actually the total.

Nonetheless, before the NHS started using modern techniques they were finding 8,000 breast cancers a year and now they are finding 11,000; however, the key factor is that 50% of those cancers are early stage.

If you factor in the 25-30 years the US has been promulgating two views, modern equipment and expanded screening (while the NHS decried this system for financial reasons while pretending we were just paranoid overspenders)you are talking about 10-20,000 females.

No matter how you look at those data, it is stunning and astounding and represents a catastrophic miscalculation that they are now trying to spin as omething new and improved.

Posted by: CodeBlueBlogMD | March 01, 2005 at 09:15 PM

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health care also health·care (hlthkâr) n. :efforts made to maintain or restore health especially by trained and licensed professionals -- usually hyphenated when used attributively

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