CSI MEDBLOG’S STAT OPINION BOX
______________________________________________________________
Could Arafat have AIDS?
Short Answer:
Best Explanation of his bizarre symptoms I’ve heard yet
Do I believe it?
65/35 would be my probability estimation of this being true
_______________________________________________________________
The Skinny:
Nothing the press has reported about Arafat's illness has made much sense to me, as a physician.
He was sick for a long time, flulike maybe, then it got worse. He was having "stomach" pain (Note to the Press: can we start using the proper term abdomen please?). Then he fainted. At that point they decided it was bad enough to call 911 so they dialed up a gang of Egyptian doctors who ran right over and discovered a high white blood cell (WBC) count and a low platelet (PLT) count. Their advice? Let some one else take this case (in America it's called patient dumping). So they turfed the leader of the Palestinians to France.
Looking gaunt (some say he has lost 1/3rd his body weight), Arafat arrived via private jet in Paris and was shipped to the Hospital d'Instruction des Armees de Percy in France.
Now, this hospital does have some hematologists/oncologists who have published important papers and everyone seems to agree that the hospital has some reputation for treating nonsolid tumors (blood and lymph malignancies).
The Egyptian Docs, apparently, ascribed the high WBC and low PLTS to leukemia, thus the rush to subspecialize Arafat's treatment. Once in France, however, the high white cell count (it had to be pretty high, I guess, for them to think he had leukemia, like, over 20-30K) improved (think infection, everyone -- although an odd response if he has AIDS) and some "tests" excluded leukemia from the list of diagnostic possibilities. Hmmmmmm.......
They gave him a PLT transfusion, so you know his PLTS were pretty bad...you know, falling down around the 10K level...
Next I read a hospital statement that Arafat has "persistent abnormalities in indicators for digestive function."
Indicators for digestive function?
OK, I'll lay that off to translation. Are they talking liver function tests (LFTs)? Probably. Now follow me closely here....
The hospital then says that whole body CT scans were negative (so no biliary obstruction, no significant pancreatic / liver/ kidney/ adrenal masses; no big spleen; no lymphandenopathy) and they also report that Arafat does not have leukemia or cancer.
By this point everyone is thinking, well maybe it's just that his stomach really does hurt!
If Arafat does not have a tumor on CT, yet he has abnormal LFTs he probably has hepatocellular inflammation/infection (like Hepatitis B?). Low PLTs without a big spleen suggests immune destruction (autolysis) either as a single entity or in combination with another disease (favored), less likely drug interaction...in any event low platelets (thrombocytopenia) is common in HIV patients.
THE ELECTION COMA -- LOOK OUT EUROPE!
Then, just as Arafat seems to be doing better he watches the election results on Tuesday and then (like about 50 million Americans and all of Europe) immediately lapses into a coma (which would NOT have happened if John Kerry was elected -- so ALREADY the election of George Bush is paying off).
Okay, so let's put it together like this: he is HIV+ without adequate treatment (maybe undiagnosed), suffers inanition, Hepatitis B, ? +/- superinfection two weeks ago (choose a bug and a site) and now has encephalopathy either from viremia or from the failure of the exit polls predictions.
CSI MEDBLOG’S STAT OPINION BOX: EVIDENCE SUMMARY
__________________________________________________
SUBACUTE-CHRONIC VIRAL-LIKE ILLNESS INANITION (? 1/3 OF BODY WEIGHT) ABNORMAL LFT'S WITH NEGATIVE CT SCAN (? HEPATITIS B) ? RECENT UNEXPLAINED INFECTION (HIGH WBC NOW REGRESSED) NO LIQUID OR SOLID TUMOR (WHOLE-BODY CT NEGATIVE LEUKEMIA WORK-UP NEGATIVE) THROMBOCYTOPENIA (COMMON AIDS-RELATED DISORDER PATIENT BEING TREATED AT A FACILITY KNOWN FOR ITS EXPERTISE IN HEMATOLOGY/ONCOLOGY -- A LOGICAL & USUAL PLACE TO REFER DIFFICULT HIV CASE ___________________________________________________
OKAY, BUT HOW DID ARAFAT GET INFECTED WITH HIV?
This has been kicking around the quiet corners of the Internet for a while, but recently it has gathered strength like a williwaw rising off the Dead Sea. Roger Simon (if you are not reading his Blog -- YOU LOSE) said that many had heard these speculations but Mr. Simon chose to be intelligently mum in the face of a dearth of empirical eviidence.
David Frum (another must read) folowed up with a blogastrophic piece in his 10/29/04 blog revealing some shocking charges made by Ion Pacepa, the former Romanian intelliegnce chief; namely:
Pacepa tells in his very interesting memoirs that the Ceaucescu regime taped Arafat's orgies with his body guards.
Arafat is rumored to be bisexual. In fact, apparently, Israeli security is reputed to have known this for a while:
Various Israeli security sources have in the past suggested publicly Arafat might be homosexual. They've claimed Arafat's former personal driver – a Mossad double agent – used to find teenage boys to bring back to the PLO leader. His wife, Suha, mostly lived abroad and rarely saw her husband.
The medical evidence is not enough, obviously, to draw any definite conclusions; however, the revelations by Frum and others cast the entire confusing case in a partly rectifying new light and may also help to explain why there is so little coherent information and so much obfuscation from the Arab and French doctors -- I was beginning to think they might be grossly incompetent. Maybe they're just being coy.
...hat tip and thanks to Grace H. Boyle
Stay Tuned TO CSI MEDBLOGS
I'm very curious if he could have been poisoned.
It is Arafat we're talking about. He has many, many enemies. Would a poisoning produce the symptoms we are seeing?
(I'm just trying to stay ahead of the likely conspiracy theories)
Posted by: Xmas | November 05, 2004 at 09:23 AM
u know that he has TTP:mortality (esp.in french "hospitals" is 90-100%!!
i love it!!!
Posted by: ay | November 07, 2004 at 11:44 PM
I DONT CARE WHAT CAUSES HIM TO CROAK....AS LONG AS ITS DRAWN OUT AND PAINFUL.
UNFORTUNATELY,DEATH FROM FULMINANT LIVER FAILURE IS USUALLY PAINLESS.
I HEARD THAT THE ARAB DOCS (UPON HEARING THAT HIS AMMONIA LEVELS WERE ELEVATED)CLAIMED THAT THE ISRAELIS PUT SOME NH3 UP HIS U KNOW WHAT!!!
Posted by: arafatsboy | November 07, 2004 at 11:51 PM
Hmm.. By the same logic that Arafat has AIDS, David Frum, the neocon who started the rumor, is a Mossad Agent..
see
http://www.joemitchell.biz/marzipan/frum/index.htm
Posted by: joe | November 10, 2004 at 08:08 PM
Thanks for writing this: It's amazing, but it seems to me the entire mainstream media news has glossed over *why* he died. You know when they're leaving something out, it's for a reason.
If he died of some kind of infection from living at the compound, the PLO would have it all over the news. As for the theory of a "poisoning", I would say it's the same thing - they'd be all over Israel with this.
No, it had to be something "embarassing" or "troubling" to the PLO and his memory, so I'd say that tips the scales highly in the favour of your theory.
But only a handful of people know for sure. For now.
Keep up the great work.
Posted by: Anon | November 11, 2004 at 10:32 AM
It is quite obvious that Arafat had some kind of comsuptive ailment and it has been reported to have homosexual tendencies. Can you imaging waht the reaction would be in the Arab world where homosexuals are treated worse than they treat their women? and all the political implications if he has dies from AIDS-related illness?
Posted by: Brenda | November 11, 2004 at 05:09 PM
So if Arafat has AIDS, than Suha would too, as well as their daughter ... Or, did she marry him for money to live like a princess in Paris/Tunisia, to cover up allegations of his homosexuality? Anyone?
Posted by: Nora | November 11, 2004 at 05:41 PM
So if Arafat has AIDS, than Suha would too, as well as their daughter ... Or, did she marry him for money to live like a princess in Paris/Tunisia, to cover up allegations of his homosexuality? Anyone?
Posted by: Nora | November 11, 2004 at 05:42 PM
If Arafat did have aids, and aids related dementia, it would explain his refusal to talk terms with US. & Israel. It may be why he constantly wanted other to fight on to the death, his was creeping on him.
Arafat wasn't stupid, He would have tried to insure his death by heroic means If this was known to intelligence circles. They would have kept him confined, but eliminate his ability to prosecute a war. They would have confined him to his compound and kept him from medical attention...
Son of a gun, maybe things were done right. PLO gets no martyr. They are disgraced, their vaunted leader was a closet queen...
The good guys win again!!!!
Tim Sanko
Posted by: Tim Sanko | November 12, 2004 at 08:29 AM
It is also possible that the suicide terorists in Israel were kids who had been infected by Arafat, and were persuaded to die by terror bombing rather than from Aids.
Is this a possibulity?
Posted by: Jim Sprigges | November 12, 2004 at 12:17 PM
I think we need inform community members to take proactive steps towards improving the overall health problems.
Posted by: Andrew Spark | February 16, 2006 at 12:43 AM
http://www.shemale-ass-fuck.afotosdeputas.com @X@ http://www.corridas-de-mujeres.afotosdeputas.com @X@ http://www.negritas-tetonas.lasputas19.com @X@ http://www.tanguitas-de-jovencitas.lasputas19.com @X@ http://www.erotismo-y-sexo.100jovencitas.info @X@ http://www.anciana-masturbandose.100jovencitas.info @X@ http://www.teta-enorme-natural.101videosgratis.info @X@ http://www.contactos-sexuales-sevilla.101videosgratis.info @X@ http://www.indias-sexi.2lesbianas.info @X@ http://www.nalgas-sexis.2lesbianas.info @X@ http://www.transexual-com-mx.69guarras.info @X@ http://www.fotos-chicas-guarras.69guarras.info @X@ http://www.gatitas-culonas.alumnasfollando.info @X@ http://www.relatos-adulto.alumnasfollando.info @X@ http://www.amateur-descarga-directa.amateurjovencitas.info @X@ http://www.amateur-descarga-gratis.amateurjovencitas.info @X@ http://www.la-zona-angelica.camjovencitas.info @X@ http://www.wwwmini-guegoscom.camjovencitas.info @X@ http://www.chicholina-videos.culosjovencitas.info @X@ http://www.gay-hombres-desnudos.culosjovencitas.info @X@ http://www.foto-de-transexuales.galerias-jovencitas.info @X@ http://www.las-perrascom.galerias-jovencitas.info @X@ http://www.sexo-en-ecuador.69orgias.info @X@ http://www.dormida-desnuda-xxx.69orgias.info @X@ http://www.desnudas-famosas.acabadasdemujeres.info @X@ http://www.imagenes-pormo.acabadasdemujeres.info @X@ http://www.secretarias-mamadoras.amigastetonas.info @X@ http://www.cholas-sexys.amigastetonas.info @X@ http://www.prono-grafia.fotospornocasero.info @X@ http://www.paris-nicky-hilton.fotospornocasero.info @X@ http://www.chiquitas-putas.porno-gratis-sexo.info @X@ http://www.super-guapascon.porno-gratis-sexo.info @X@
Posted by: Tomeczek | September 19, 2006 at 06:44 AM
Hello all really cool blog
http://www.buy-ativan-online-rx.com http://www.buy-adipex-online-rx.com http://www.buy-didrex-online-rx.com http://www.buy-levitra-online-rx.com http://www.buy-cialis-online-rx.com http://www.buy-phentermine-online-rx.com http://www.buy-soma-online-rx.com http://www.buy-tramadol-online-rx.com http://www.buy-diazepam-online-rx.com http://www.buy-carisoprodol-online-rx.com http://www.buy-meridia-online-rx.com http://www.buy-paxil-online-rx.com http://www.buy-valium-online-rx.com http://www.buy-xanax-online-rx.com http://www.buy-ultram-online-rx.com http://www.buy-fioricet-online-rx.com http://www.usa-tooth-whitening.com http://www.alprazolam-rx.com/alprazolam.html http://www.getpharmacyonline.com http://www.carisoprodol.happyhost.org http://www.cheap-hydrocodone.com http://www.buy-vicodin-online-rx.com http://www.alprazolam-drug-info.com http://www.fioricet-drug-info.com http://www.hydrocodone-drug-info.com http://www.vicodin-drug-info.com http://www.tramadol-drug-info.com http://www.xanax-drug-info.com http://www.valium-drug-info.com http://www.ultram-drug-info.com http://www.soma-drug-info.com http://www.carisoprodol-drug-info.com http://www.ambien-drug-info.com http://www.ativan-drug-info.com http://www.lorazepam-drug-info.com http://www.propecia-drug-info.com http://www.adipex-drug-info.com http://www.didrex-drug-info.com http://www.cialis-drug-info.com http://www.levitra-drug-info.com http://www.paxil-drug-info.com http://www.meridia-drug-info.com http://www.viagra-drug-info.com http://www.wellbutrin-drug-info.com http://www.clonazepam-drug-info.com http://www.xenical-drug-info.com http://www.prozac-drug-info.com http://www.butalbital-drug-info.com http://www.phentermine-drug-info.com http://www.online-needs.com http://www.car-insurance-tonight.com http://www.payday-loan-tonight.com http://www.newweb-directory.com http://www.newbusiness-directory.com
Posted by: linda | September 23, 2006 at 04:14 AM
Easy to follow step-by-step guide to financial freedom by buying real estate
Posted by: John Beck | September 27, 2006 at 03:24 PM
Easy to follow step-by-step guide to financial freedom by buying real estate for Pennies On The Dollar
Posted by: Tax Foreclosures | September 27, 2006 at 03:26 PM
Guide to financial freedom by buying real estate for Pennies On The Dollar
Posted by: John Beck's Tax Foreclosures | September 27, 2006 at 03:26 PM
Everyday there are new ways to earn huge profits over the nternet with Real Estate.
Posted by: John Beck | September 27, 2006 at 03:27 PM
Everyday there are new ways to earn huge profits on Real Estate
Posted by: Tax Foreclosures | September 27, 2006 at 03:27 PM
Ways to earn huge profits over the Internet with Real Estate.
Posted by: John Beck's Land | September 27, 2006 at 03:28 PM
With just two deals, I've profited over $17,000!
Posted by: John Beck | September 27, 2006 at 03:28 PM
With just two deals, I've profited over $17,000! In real estate
Posted by: Tax Foreclosures | September 27, 2006 at 03:29 PM
I would never think of earning 5 figure income in real estate
Posted by: Tax Liens | September 27, 2006 at 03:30 PM
I would never think of earning 5 figure income in real estate
Posted by: John Beck's Success Stories | September 27, 2006 at 03:31 PM
Adult sex movie Video on demand porn videos watch vod movie videos feature story dvd movies group sex movies plus buy or rent adult dvd porn movie rentals online porn classics even educational adult movies jenna jameson the new devil in miss jones straight adult movies gay adult dvds movies and also lesbain movies and anal sex movies free sex toy movie demo. For penis enhancement we carry viagra cialis and levitra
http://vod.sextoytv.com/index.php?a=adult-products
http://www.sextoysex.com/sex/start/cat.html?a=adult-products&tf=Movies_featurestory
http://www.sextoysex.com/sex/start/cat.html?a=adult-products&tf=Movies_groupsex
http://www.buy-rent-dvds.com/WantedMember.aspx?wlaid=brd&sid=adult-products
http://www.sextoysex.com/sex/start/cat.html?a=adult-products&tf=Movies_classics
http://www.sextoysex.com/sex/start/cat.html?a=adult-products&tf=Movies_educational
http://www.sextoysex.com/sex/start/cat.html?a=adult-products&tf=Movies_straight
http://www.sextoysex.com/sex/start/cat.html?a=adult-products&tf=Movies_gay
http://www.sextoysex.com/sex/start/cat.html?a=adult-products&tf=Movies_lesbian
http://www.sextoysex.com/sex/start/cat.html?a=adult-products&tf=Movies_anal
http://vod.sextoytv.com/studio.php?studio_id=268&a=adult-products
http://www.asextoyshop.com
http://www.Sextoysex.com/Sex-traffic
http://www.toyssex.thumblogger.com
http://www.Sextoysex.com/Toy-Sex
http://www.sextoysex.com/adult-products
http://www.sextoymeds.com/default.asp?s=adult-products
Posted by: movies | November 11, 2006 at 03:30 AM
http://www.thalia-nue.info - http://mar-yana-nue.thalia-nue.info - http://maryane-nue.thalia-nue.info - http://maryanka-nue.thalia-nue.info
Posted by: thalia nue | March 23, 2007 at 07:11 AM